CES2020：准备好接受惊喜吧！

每年我都期待着CES的结束。这并不是因为它不有趣，而是因为它很有趣。这是因为在消费电子展期间，拉斯维加斯做出了一些令人难以置信的愚蠢决定，把这个城市变成了一片混乱。

假期刚过，时间安排得很奇怪，这确保了它比任何其他活动都要破坏更多的家庭假期，除了带着很小的孩子开车长途旅行。

本次展会不是智能手机展。移动世界大会将于2月底在西班牙巴塞罗那举行，是新型智能手机的最佳展会。预计会有大量5G手机和设计展示苹果不再推动智能手机的设计。新的设计要到年中才能推出，但我想你会惊讶于一些手机公司的创新能力，尤其是一些总部设在中国的公司。

至于消费电子展，很多最有意思的产品本周不会出现在展台上，而是会根据保密协议在展会上向买家、分析师和记者展示。这种做法是因为我们离他们的批量供货还有一到两个季度，而供应商不想让他们的竞争对手知道会发生什么。

我将与大家分享我对消费电子消费品的看法，并以明年即将推出的一款更有趣的产品作为结束语，这款设备有望帮助改善你的能量水平管理和无需药物的睡眠。

汽车创新

CES最有趣的部分之一是汽车部分，它应该是杰出的。在过去的几年里，我们已经有了飞车和商用车，但现在是十年的转折点，预计公司会更加努力。

我们不仅应该看到一些更不寻常的飞行车辆，还应该看到希望将自动驾驶推向市场的公司的最新设计。一个备受关注的领域是将汽车变成一个移动娱乐中心，座椅布局发生了巨大变化。

有计划将汽车舱变成一种虚拟现实体验，让你看起来像是在其他星球旅行，或是在其他时间段旅行，或是穿越另一个宇宙。去年的一些示威活动相当惊人。预计今年它们会更加精致。

总有一到两个汽车之家的便利设施，你可能买不起放在你的实际家。几年前，这里有一个内置直升机场和一架直升飞机。我预计今年会有一个无人机舱。

尖端PC

个人电脑厂商利用消费电子展（CES）闭门展示即将到来的设计。如果你有幸被邀请进入秘密展柜，你可以看到双屏笔记本电脑的进步，智能手机和笔记本电脑功能的有趣融合，以及一大堆5G连接的笔记本电脑。

虽然本次展会主要集中在消费类个人电脑上，但公司产品也应该有一些更新，展示设计和安全增强功能，这些都将在20世纪20年代开始定义个人电脑。

其中一个有很大进步的领域是技术回收，以及在设计中使用海洋塑料的能力，因为这一领域的重点是区分可持续性努力。当科技部门努力成为绿色创新的领导者时，在这里寻找一些真正的进步。

数字助理趋势

我预计亚马逊将继续展示其在数字助理开发领域的领导地位，推出更多利用亚马逊Echo生态系统的第三方配件。

我们应该看到几家厂商推出更智能的机顶盒来与亚马逊展开竞争，并展示人工智能系统的先进性，这些系统越来越多地驱动着这些产品，其中很多功能都直接内置在电视机中。

在亚马逊、谷歌和苹果的产品争夺主导地位之际，我们应该在展会上展示数字助理产品。我脑海中有这样一个画面：当消费电子展的灯光熄灭，保安人员睡着时，这些东西就要开战了。可能会拍一部有趣的电影。

最新智能设备

从活动监视器到智能眼镜，今年应该会有更广泛的可穿戴设备展出。一些更有趣的会改变行为和情绪，比如下面我将重点介绍的阿波罗本周产品。

我预计这一细分市场今年会有点过火，产品组合的范围从那些你可能离不开的产品到本应留在绘图板上的产品。

智能眼镜和可穿戴显示器是一个备受关注的领域。到了年底，你可能会发现在飞机上看电影的最佳方式是头戴式显示器。

在消费电子展上，我们应该可以看到一些设计用来代替静态图片挂在墙上的显示器，以及与实时更新显示内容的服务相关联的绘画。

智能电视的下一步是什么

今年我们应该开始看到8K电视的生产线了，尽管我们中的许多人刚刚开始适应我们的4K电视机。不要太兴奋了，因为8K的内容很少，但是这些电视应该有令人印象深刻的上变频器，这应该能让电视机在缺乏本地内容的情况下仍然发光。

就像所有的新技术一样，不要指望这是一个廉价的约会。在8K本地内容出现之前，8K集更多的是吹牛的权利而不是享受，这不会是一点点。

寻找对新服务（如DC-Universe和Disney+）更强大的内置支持，以及对语音接口的增强，以及与家庭中同一品牌的其他设备更好的集成。

安全和5G中心的进步

预计在智能摄像头、智能门铃和无线传感器的联网安全系统中会出现大幅增长。其中一些应该使用5G直接连接到手机网络（WAN），因此安装起来很容易。

这个小小的选择应该只是一个预演，在今年即将推出的5G智能互联网集线器（取代您现有的有线路由器）的直接连接5G设备方面可能会出现的情况。

到本世纪末，大多数个人设备可能需要连接到互联网并开始工作，从而大大简化了典型的设置过程，并重新设置了易用性条。

总结：只是冰山一角

这个总结只是CES2020将在公开场合和闭门展示的冰山一角。我期待着一场精彩的演出，我也期待着在拉斯维加斯度过一个噩梦，并希望整个星期我都在家。

无线技术和人工智能将带来巨大的变化，但要意识到这些举措只是巨大变革的开始。到十年结束时，我们可能会回顾那些黑暗的岁月，想知道我们是如何幸存下来的（假设我们是这样）。

阿波罗来自一个科学家团队，他们担心很多人睡眠不足，以及许多人每天都在承受的巨大压力。这是我所知的唯一一种在临床上被证实可以改善心率变异性（HRV）的设备，HRV是改善身体应对压力的最有效方法。

其他设备，如苹果手表，跟踪心率变异，但没有改善它。对1000名用户进行的初步测试显示，大多数（95%）的用户报告说，使用阿波罗设备可以提高工作效率、集中精力和改善睡眠。

我已经用了几个星期了，它确实能提高注意力，但由于我很快就睡着了，我不知道它是否也能改善睡眠。

该产品作为一项服务提供，每年60美元或每月5美元，如果它能提高你的注意力、工作效率和睡眠质量，这似乎是合理的。

这个装置不是我见过的最吸引人的，但你可以选择戴在手腕或脚踝上。要使用它，你要加载一个应用程序，然后告诉应用程序你想要什么感觉，阿波罗开始以一个频率振动，这个频率是为了解决你发现的问题（精力不足、注意力不足、失眠）。

这个装置使用尼龙搭扣固定在你的手腕或脚踝上，我很快就习惯了。我期待在20世纪20年代，能够改变而不是报告你的情绪问题是一大进步。阿波罗首先来到这里，所以这是我本周的产品。

原文题：CES 2020: Prepare to Be Amazed

原文：Every year I look forward to CES being over. That's not because it isn't interesting -- it is. It's because the place is a nightmare to get around, thanks to some incredibly stupid decisions by Las Vegas that turn the city into a gridlocked mess during CES.

Coming right after the holidays, it is oddly timed, ensuring that it destroys more family vacations than any other event short of a long driving trip with very young children.

This show is not the show for smartphones. Mobile World Congress -- which will take place in Barcelona, Spain, at the end of February -- is the best show for new smartphones. Expect a massive number of 5G phones and designs showcasing that Apple no longer drives smartphone design. The new designs aren't due until mid-year, but I think you'll be surprised at how creative some of the phone companies will be -- in particular some based in China.

As for CES, a lot of the most interesting products won't be on the show floor this week, but will be shown under nondisclosure agreements to buyers, analysts and reporters at the event. This practice is because we are one or two quarters away from when they will be available in volume, and the vendors don't want their competitors to know what is coming.

I'll share my thoughts about CES, and close with one of the more interesting products coming out next year -- a device that promises to help improve management of your energy level and sleep without drugs.

Innovations in Automobiles

One of the most interesting sections at CES is the automotive section, and it should be outstanding. We've had flying cars and commercial vehicles for the last several years, but this is the turn of the decade, and companies are expected to push harder.

We should see not only some even more unusual flying vehicles, but also the latest designs from companies expecting to bring autonomous driving to the market. One area getting a lot of focus is turning the car into a mobile entertainment center, with massive changes in seat layouts.

There are plans to turn the auto cabin into a virtual reality experience, making it seem as though you are traveling on other planets, or during other time periods, or through alternative universes. Some of these demonstrations were pretty amazing last year. Expect them to be far more refined this year.

There are always one or two motor homes that have amenities you likely couldn't afford to put into your actual home. A couple of years back, there was one with a built-in heliport and a helicopter to go with it. I'm expecting one with a drone bay this year.

Cutting-Edge PCs

The PC vendors use CES to showcase coming designs behind closed doors. If you are lucky enough to be invited into the secret showcases, expect to see advances in dual-screen notebook computers, interesting blends of smartphone and laptop features, and a whole bunch of 5G-connected notebooks.

While this show mostly focuses on consumer PCs, there should be some updates to corporate products as well, showcasing design and security enhancements that will begin to define PCs in the 2020s.

One of the areas seeing a lot of advancement is technology recycling, and the ability to use ocean plastics in designs, as this segment pivots to differentiate on sustainability efforts. Look for some real advances here as the tech segment works to become a leader in green innovations.

Digital Assistant Trends

I expect Amazon will continue to showcase leadership in digital assistant development with an even greater number of third party accessories that make use of the Amazon Echo ecosystem.

We should see smarter set-top boxes from several vendors as they pivot to compete with Amazon, and demonstrations of advances to the artificial intelligence systems that increasingly drive these products, with a lot of this capability built into TVs directly.

We should be up to our armpits in digitial assistant-enabled products at the show, as the Amazon, Google and Apple products fight for dominance. I have a mental image of these things going to war in a Toy Story-like scenario when the lights at CES go out and the security guards fall asleep. Might make an interesting movie.

The Latest in Smart Devices

From activity monitors to smart glasses, there should be a wider range of wearable devices on display this year. Some of the more interesting will modify behavior and mood, like the Apollo product of the week I'll highlight below.

I expect this segment to get a bit over the top this year, with a mix of products that range from those you might not be able to do without to products that should have been left on the drawing board.

One area getting a lot of focus is smart glasses and wearable displays. You may find, by year-end, that the best way to watch a movie on a plane is with a head-mounted display.

At CES we should see several displays designed to mount on the wall in place of static pictures, as well as paintings tied to services that update what they are showing in real time.

What's Next in Smart TVs

We should begin to see lines of 8K TVs this year, though many of us are just getting comfortable with our 4K sets. Don't get too excited yet as there is little 8K content, but these TVs should have impressive up-converters, which should allow the sets to shine despite the lack of native content.

As with all new technology, don't expect it to be a cheap date. The 8K sets will have more to do with bragging rights than enjoyment until 8K native content shows up, and that won't be for a bit.

Look for greater built-in support for new services like DC Universe and Disney+, along with enhancements to the voice interface and better integration with other appliances from the same brand in the home.

Advancements in Security and 5G Hubs

Expect to see a big upswing in connected security systems with smart cameras, smart doorbells and wireless sensors. Some of these should use 5G to connect directly to the cellphone network (WAN) and be a breeze to install as a result.

This small selection should be just a preview of what is likely to appear later in terms of direct-connect 5G devices with 5G smart Internet hubs (taking the place of your existing wired router) also arriving this year.

By the end of the decade, most personal devices likely will need the power to connect to the Internet and start working, simplifying the typical setup process significantly and resetting the ease-of-use bar.

Wrapping Up: Just the Tip of the Iceberg

This summary is just the tip of the iceberg of what will be showcased in public and behind closed doors at CES 2020. I'm expecting an amazing show, and I'm also expecting to have a nightmare getting around Las Vegas and wishing all week that I was home.

The big moves will be with wireless technology and AI, but realize these moves are just the beginning of a massive change. By the end of the decade we'll likely look back at the dark years and wonder how we survived (assuming we do).

Apollo comes from a team of scientists concerned about the lack of sleep many people are getting, as well as the incredible stress many struggle with every day. It is the only device I'm aware of that has been validated clinically to improve heart rate variability, or HRV, which is the most effective way to improve how your body deals with stress.

Other devices, like the Apple Watch, track HRV but do nothing to improve it. Initial tests involving 1,000 users reported that the majority (95 percent) reported enhanced productivity, focus, and improved sleep using the Apollo device.

I've been using it for several weeks, and it does seem to improve concentration, but since I fall asleep quickly anyway, I was unable to tell if it also improved sleep.

This product is delivered as a service that costs US$60 a year or $5 a month, which seems reasonable if it improves your focus, productivity and sleep quality.

The device isn't the most attractive I've seen, but you can choose to wear it on your wrist or ankle. To use it, you load an app and then tell the app how you'd like to feel, and the Apollo starts to vibrate with a frequency designed to address the problem (energy, lack of attention span, sleeplessness) that you identified.

The device uses Velcro straps to attach to your wrist or ankle, and I got used to it very quickly. Being able to modify rather than report a problem with your mood is one of the big advancements I'm expecting in the 2020s. Apollo got here first, so it is my product of the week.

作者：Rob Enderle

原文网站：https://www.technewsworld.com/story/86433.html